Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.308896 0.415478 0.539536 0.692317 0.873112 1.078039 1.325627
2025-11-30 0.183381 0.314123 0.490315 0.734368 1.052976 1.444634 1.951969
2025-12-07 0.106122 0.237468 0.443095 0.760364 1.210254 1.799689 2.603759
2025-12-14 0.057811 0.176577 0.394711 0.767896 1.337303 2.124178 3.242979
2025-12-21 0.027926 0.126148 0.342164 0.752374 1.422858 2.394572 3.826280
2025-12-28 0.013755 0.096347 0.313225 0.764825 1.546144 2.721909 4.502226
2026-01-04 0.005772 0.071805 0.283084 0.765656 1.646653 3.018605 5.146930
2026-01-11 0.001588 0.049242 0.244514 0.739162 1.694739 3.235432 5.683546
2026-01-18 0.000247 0.033732 0.214009 0.719659 1.748971 3.460830 6.238472
2026-01-25 0.000012 0.024654 0.196670 0.723661 1.843428 3.752216 6.900384
2026-02-01 NaN 0.015541 0.169472 0.696114 1.873449 3.938083 7.406672
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012490 0.166429 0.728542 2.021620 4.324812 8.232988
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008430 0.152683 0.730080 2.110764 4.621339 8.937518
2026-02-22 NaN 0.007366 0.157252 0.785146 2.314713 5.123218 9.981159
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005712 0.154682 0.818413 2.475382 5.556656 10.928648
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003853 0.145690 0.829458 2.589023 5.912042 11.760971
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002093 0.130222 0.814644 2.644049 6.165100 12.434656
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001303 0.123741 0.828620 2.763737 6.537362 13.309983
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000676 0.114588 0.829915 2.853679 6.857844 14.106852
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000206 0.099358 0.802080 2.872126 7.046856 14.690566
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000040 0.087226 0.781528 2.904943 7.262314 15.321874
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000006 0.081279 0.785821 2.998616 7.594664 16.155499
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.069403 0.756653 3.004724 7.759672 16.709369